6 April 2021

Twitter avatar explained.

.ee


I got into telling about this photo on Facebook, then realised it's the photo from which my Twitter avatar is (was – I've changed the avatar some time after this post was first published) cropped, so – on the off chance one or two of you here will find it interesting or fun to read. Or because some might have thoughts about this, but – instead of asking – might have made their own interpretations, here goes:

We're back in the early 00's at Bellevue Beach, just north of Copenhagen and the photo was taken by a friend on one of the last frames of a role of film I had spent during a short trip to Berlin.

I took a picture of her too with her face is in the middle of the frame and with the sky as background. A pretty ordinary picture, you could say, and it was a bit of a lesson for me to see the way she composed the photo of me, and, honestly, it was a bit hard for me having to discover that my approach to photography was that primitive, but that I just had to swallow of course.

If you're wondering why I have one eye closed, then it wasn't a signal to neither the photographer nor to future admirers of the photo, it was because the sun got into the corner of that eye.

The hairstyle shows a discreet remnant of a mohawk which I had made some time earlier to take part in a carnival as a native american (mostly only wearing red paint and a loincloth which - photos later revealed - was somewhat smaller, than I had fully realised).
...I just (june 10. 2023) found the negative of a photo taken as we were leaving for the carnival, so perhaps you see what I mean :o)



At the time, the understanding of how such costumes can be perceived by - in this case - native americans - (black-facing?) had not reached Denmark, so – even if I understand and agree with that critique – for that reason and because the costume was about my fascination with native americans as a child. Or to explain better, perhaps: the invite read "Come as what you never became" and because I remember that some time during first or second grade I had my mother write in my message book that I wanted to be(come) an indian chief as my future adult profession, I thought it was so telling of where my mind was then. I also thought it would be a nice stunt, of course, but mainly it had to do with that I never since, to my recollection, had any such clear idea of what I wanted to be.
So I find myself excused and do not really think I need to torment myself for having dressed up like that (but please let me know if you disagree!).

Finally, if you look closely, you can see a small ring in my left ear. I got it around my 19th birthday (1985), and it was supposed to mark a rebellious nature, which I to some extent sought and idealised at the time. I took it out ca. late 2013, because I thought I was too insecure about myself for that signal to make sense. 
Also; I was somewhat tired of having to deal with the different perceptions others had of what the ring meant.
As things are right now it feels right to not wear the ring but whether some time in the future it returns, I can't say.

So, quite a bit underneath, and – as you now know – the photo I used for my avatar was some 10 years old when I started using it. It wasn't that I wanted to deceive, but I didn't have a more resent photo, that I wanted to use, so instead I turned the photo to greyscale and cropped it heavily. This was – as mentioned – to avoid giving a wrong impression, but it can be argued, of course, that some private information about me that lies in not having a more resent usable photo was omitted and that this would have been relevant to some. I can only agree.


the avatar that I used from around 2011, I think, and stopped using at some point during 2023.


19 December 2012

this blog is closed (or was – it has come a bit to life again)

rewritten, expanded and edited June 7&18, 2013.


Dear readers. 

I am no longer able to continue this blog. I'm not a professional, and my previous post is an example of too little knowledge/training causing risk of bringing others in danger.

At present I will suggest using Responsible Researchers of Munitions and Arms (R.R.M.A) for weapons related questions. Website: http://www.armsresearch.org

Over time I hope some organizations will establish a permanent presence in the on-line sphere during conflicts to help people understand what they are being targeted with, and to return safety information


more (by June 7, 2013, edit December 27, 2017):

At present I have committed myself to a psychiatric hospital. This is due to an awfull lot of stress that have mounted since the beginning of this year. Therefore this notice - or addition to the original closing note - might be considered written at a bad time, since I have massive trouble concentrating and my mental defenses are rather cramped up.

(the added stress came from some extraordinary expriences which was - and still is - believed by medical staff to be imagined threats. However, I disagree, but since I’m unable to bring solid proof I’ve resigned to stay sceptical of the paranoid skizofreni diagnosis that I’ve been given. Also: those experiences ended abruptly in early 2015 and did so seemingly without any relation to use or “disuse” of medication, nor have they recurred since eventhough I have been constantly off medication since january 2016) this parentheses added december 27, 2017

however...

parallel to blogging I have been trying to solve some personal issues, that have troubled me over a longer time. I haven't had a lot of success with that, and it had me getting more and more isolated - while for a few years (2009 - 2012, ca) living on some inherited funds.

To me the problematic aspect of the situation was, that I found it impossible to share those negative aspects, and that my general life status / situation made me ashamed. To begin with the discrepancy between what people might perceive from the very guarded profiles I have online (Twitter, FaceBook, Google+, etc) and the "reality" did not seem problematic, since I found it acceptable to share thoughts and opinions in those spheres without necessarily sharing my private life. But as things developed and the posts I wrote started to attract an audience, at some point I should have at least sought to be more open about my situation (to allow readers to decided for themselves) or I should have decided that even though I found the energy and resources to do the analyses, then the stress from not being at peace with my own situation was an unfortunate "thing" to have to handle with the inherent risk of making me more prone to making mistakes.

To which degree this was the case I find hard to determine in my present state, since I am, and have been, experiencing a deterioration since late 2012.

I'm sorry for the cases in which this is causing disappointment or feelings of betrayal, and I have some shameful digging ahead. If possible and still relevant, I might expand this later.

I also want to mention that this is written in haste - even if the thoughts have been there for a long time - and that several aspects and details have been left out or forgotten.


to clarify (by June 18, 2013):

personal issues in my case meant being somewhere in the schizoid area, and at present the diagnosis is schizophrenia with a good heavy layer of paranoia on top.

also: at the time around when I closed the blog, in some cases I answered "ok" or something of that kind, when asked how I was doing. I believe most other people would find it hard to use that term about where I was at that time. In these cases part reason for doing so was the knowledge that once touched upon, friendly people will care and will want to hear more to know if they can help or say something useful, and it has been my experience that I am - or at least, have been - unable to use such kind offers. That and the knowledge, that things could be worse. (but) If anyone was to call it lying, I can't complain.


But the core issue of this of course is still whether or not I was a hazard to others by dealing with such potentially dangerous subjects as munitions at that time. My last post might be seen as prof of that, but for different reasons I don't find that post typical of my writings, and since then my ability to concentrate and to recall how things were have been ripped apart, and I reserve myself the right to pass that sentence at a later time, when I - hopefully - will have recovered some of these abilities. However, should I come to that conclusion the shame will be immense.

..

a series of up todate photos (june 2013):

Turning 47 in august

zink and stuff

Update (aug 24): not that I'm doing much better, but just to let readers know: Since end of July I'm no longer in hospital.


20 November 2012

Suspected use of White Phosphorus in Syria - 4 videos



Please notice: this is a layman's post. If you read it please don't skip the notes during and at the bottom of the post. Also before you decide what to think of my writings: please read through my latest post (plead added 03/06/2014).


N.B.: by November 27, this description of a type of incendary munitions has been published by arms specialist N.R. Jenzen-Jones. The description seems to match much of what is seen in the videos in this post, and does not include white phosphorus. In relation to the Syrian armed conflict this munitions type was initially pointed to by Eliot Higgins on the Brown Moses blog on November 21. I think you should read those posts first (added here 27&28/11/2012).


Video #1:
.
.
Title: "Maart 11/20/2012 bombed toxic fissile c 1" (google translated title).
Uploaded November 20, 2012.
According to tweets from @SyrianSmurf this videos - as indicated in the title - is from Maraat al-Numan, Idlib, and people there feared/believed the smoke from the munitions was/is toxic.
(video now re-posted by me because the version I used originally dissapeared)

Assuming the next video is of a similar case it gives a clearer idea of what this site possibly have been targeted with.

Video #2:
.

.
Title: "Haaaaaaaam warplanes bombing of cluster bombs" (google translated title).
Uploaded November 20, 2012.
This is also said to be a recording from Maraat al-Numan (link via @Markito0171).

The video tells that it is aerial bomb(s)(see note 2):
0:24 min: the jet releases 3 or 4 objects (that has to be bombs)
0:31 min: the first flash can be seen on the ground (that's a fast drop but might have to do with the bombs being dropped during a dive).
0:51 min: notice the thin trails of smoke, that seems to arch from the centre of the explosion. 1:07 min: new explosions inside the smoke with glowing objects flying in the air.
1:48 min: smoke rising fare to the left of what appears to have been the/a main explosion (see note 3).

Video #3:

.
.
Title: "The banner of monotheism :: Syrian regime uses new weapons in Aleppo" (google translated title).
Uploaded November 19, 2012.
This is claimed to be a recording from Aleppo, both in the title and by activist/FSA member @HamaEcho who tweeted the link.

The next video takes a closer look at the glowing pieces that rains down after the explosion at 0:08 min (see note 4).

Video #4:
.
.
Title: "Aleppo: new shells believed to be in the palace garden sulfur 11/20/2012" (google translated title).
Uploaded November 20, 2012.
According to @HamaEcho this is a recording of the bomb site of the previous video (from Aleppo).

Through this video it can be seen, that removing the ash cover makes the material below start to burn. This is consistent with one of the main characteristics of white phosphorous - namely spontaneous ignition by contact with oxygen. The large amount of smoke is another characteristic. I also think, that the glowing objects, flying around in the second and raining down in the third video, are consistent with the behaviour of white phosphorus, but I haven't had this confirmed (see note 5).

Assuming these three cases are of the same kind of munitions, then the sudden appearance of several such cases seems to indicate a general deployment of this new type of munition. As mentioned the suspicion is that these are cases of use of white phosphorous, but, again, this has not been confirmed with certainty. This post is only a quick presentation of material, that went through the social media stream today (Nov20), and it is meant as an attempt at furthering such a confirmation. Anyone, who can add to this, is very welcome to do so either by leaving a comment below or via Twitter.

Video showing what looks like scattered burn marks and remains of white phosphorus (see note 5).
Uploaded on November 24, 2012, to a YouTube channel linked to Aleppo  (link via @massdall, added 24/11/2012).

Video showing what looks like remains of a cluster bomb canitser and submunitions. The shape of the assumed submunitions (the cylindrical objects) matches the incendiary munitions described by Eliot Higgins and N. R. Jenzen-Jones in the posts mentioned in the top of this post (also linked to below).
The video was uploaded on November 28, 2012, to the Aleppo/Idlib linked YouTube channel of AENNetwork (added here 28/11/2012).


Clarification (December 10, 2012):
If you didn't read the posts linked to in the top of this post, then, so there is no misunderstanding: the suspicion of white phosphorus raised in this post, has not been confirmed. What has been confirmed, is that cluster bombs with incendiary submunitions have been brought into use by the Syrian government airforce.
I have not seen recordings of remains of what was dropped in the two first videos in this post, but as of now I find it most likely that these were munition of the same kind. Luckily, in relation to safety, in this case, if someone on the ground took the heavy leaning of my text towards white phosphorus for a conclusion, it will not have made a lot of difference, but it is painfully easy to imagine, that it could have.

..

Caution:
Unexploded munitions are potentially lethal, and should only be handled by professionals. Therefore please notice the ARMS guidelines:

- Avoid the area
- Record all relevant information from a safe distance
- Mark the area to warn others
- Seek assistance from the relevant authorities

A specific warning should be given in relation to the ZAB-2.5 incendiary submunitions:
some of these are designed to explode after having burned for a while (this could be what caused the secondary explosions in some of the recordings in this post). This gives extra reason to stay away.

- link to print-out poster and warning flags from R.R.M.A. (ZAP 2.5 is the relevant poster)

..

Update, December 25, 2012:
There seem to actually have been established some cases of evidence of use of white phosphrus, but so fare only in the form of artillery grenades - not aerial bombs.
More material too about possible use of WP grenades in Homs in this post (3/4 down).


* note 1: date and locations of these videos are not verified.
* note 2: clarification: video #2 shows aerial bombs. It does not show that munitions in the other videos are aerial bombs; only that aerial bombs with similar detonation and smoke pattern seems to be deployed (clarification added 23/11/2012).
* note 3: the 1:48 min. observation was added 23/11/2012.
* note 4: this is according to the same activist who tweeted videos #3 and #4 (added 25/12/2012).
* note 5: this was what I believed to be the strongest indicator of white phosphorus, but by now I suspect one of the thermite variants of the incendary submunitions, described in the posts, linked to below, could have such a reaction pattern as well (note added 28/11/2012).


Relevant posts:
- First Evidence Of Incendiary Submuntion Cluster Bombs Used In Syria
- Update: Cluster Munitions in Syria (ZAB-2.5 incendiary submunitions)
- Arms Trade Data-Sharing: Soviet Incendiary Bombs and Bomblets, The Color-Code Guide.
- Likely Evidence of White Phosphorus use in Syria
- A short write up about White Phoshporus by @Dr_mz13

* thanks to @Johnnyrocket69, @Jugend75 and @Dr_mz13 for sparring and valuable input during the day, and to @Brown_Moses for linking and more. The heavy leaning towards a white phosphorus conclusion in the post is entirely on my account. - any corrections and suggestions are welcome. You can either leave information as a comment or via @bjoernen_hj

7 November 2012

A (too?) long RPG shot in Aleppo.


Please notice: this is a layman's post. If you read it please don't skip any of the notes. Also before you decide what to think of my writings: please read through my latest post (plead added 03/06/2014).



After having viewed this video, titled to be recorded November 6, in Aleppo, Syria, I decided to see if it could be verified from aerials:

I struggled for some time without being able to pinpoint the location, but when I asked tweeter @markito0171 for help, he pointed out, that in some parts of the video a red cube is visible in the lower left side of the frame, and that that red cube is placed on the top of the monument in the centre of the Blleramoun roundabout in the North Western part of Aleppo - the exact location given in the title of the video btw.
The information can be confirmed by checking against photos from the area linked-to in Google Earth/Panoramio. Thanks a lot Mark.
   
Another thing I was interested in doing, was to see if the distance of the RPG-7 shot could be measured. I think I managed.

screen shot from Google Earth. The dark rectangle at the firing position is placed there by me, only to make it clear where the arrow starts. I you want to you can try to examine the locations. The rooftop has some very significant characteristics.

In Wikipedia the effective range of the RPG-7 is listed as 200 meter. This shot is more than double of that, and - still according to Wikipedia - at 400 meter the hit probability is set as low as 9%. I believe it helps a little, that the grenade is fired from an elevated position, but still, this has to be a very optimistic shot.

I have - of course - tried to see, if it could be determined, whether the shooter actually managed to take out the BMP or not, but I haven't been able to come to any conclusion.
The flash from the explosion, visible at 0:19 min, seems to have the right direction  horizontally, but it could look like it is occuring some distance in front of the vehicle.
However, the view point moves a little, and the frame I got, showing the flash, is blurred by dust and smoke, which makes it hard to get a certain handle on the positions.

cropped frames form the video. Left: cross-hair points to the BMP. Right: cross-hair points to the flash (added 25/12/2012).

At the end of the recording it looks like the BMP is covered in smoke, but again it's impossible for me to tell if it's from the BMP being on fire or from the grenade detonating alone or a smoke screen produced by the BMP itself.
For now I'm leaning towards a miss, but I'm fare from sure. Maybe later we'll know more.
..

Other studies on this blog:
- Air base missile attack
- Mortar position, Homs
- Helicopter attack on farm outside Daraa
- A Belgian tank killer in Douma?  

If anyone has anything to add, please leave a comment below, or reach me at @bjoernen_hj.